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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom24.25%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.05%Kamala Harris8.35%Jon Ossoff5.45%Josh Shapiro5.15%Pete Buttigieg4.15%Andy Beshear2.55%Rahm Emanuel2.15%Mark Kelly2.05%James Talarico1.95%J.B. Pritzker1.65%Ro Khanna1.5%Michelle Obama1.35%Jon Stewart1.25%Wes Moore1.25%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.25%Gretchen Whitmer1.15%Stephen A. Smith1.05%Cory Booker0.95%Mark Cuban0.95%Roy Cooper0.95%Chelsea Clinton0.85%John Fetterman0.85%Graham Platner0.85%Chris Murphy0.85%Oprah Winfrey0.75%Gina Raimondo0.75%Raphael Warnock0.75%Bernie Sanders0.75%Liz Cheney0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Ruben Gallego0.75%Jared Polis0.75%MrBeast0.75%LeBron James0.75%Hillary Clinton0.75%Barack Obama0.65%George Clooney0.65%Beto OβRourke0.65%Tim Walz0.65%Andrew Yang0.65%Phil Murphy0.65%Hunter Biden0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jasmine Crockett0.65%Jul 11, 18:41 pm
Vol83,73BΒ β½
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance33.55%Marco Rubio23.95%Tucker Carlson5.95%Ron DeSantis4.05%Donald Trump Jr.3.25%Thomas Massie3.15%Donald Trump2.85%Glenn Youngkin1.35%Vivek Ramaswamy1.25%Greg Abbott1.15%Tulsi Gabbard1.05%Rand Paul0.95%Marjorie Taylor Greene0.95%Elon Musk0.95%Ivanka Trump0.95%Ted Cruz0.95%Brian Kemp0.85%Josh Hawley0.85%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.85%Katie Britt0.85%Byron Donalds0.85%Nikki Haley0.85%Steve Bannon0.85%Kim Kardashian0.85%Tom Brady0.85%John Thune0.75%Elise Stefanik0.75%Matt Gaetz0.75%Eric Trump0.75%Joe Kent0.75%Pete Hegseth0.75%Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.75%Erika Kirk0.75%Kristi Noem0.65%Mike Pence0.65%Jul 11, 19:42 pm
Vol46,2BΒ β½
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance18.35%Gavin Newsom16.05%Marco Rubio13.15%Kamala Harris6.3%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez5.15%Jon Ossoff3.25%Josh Shapiro2.95%Tucker Carlson2.95%Ron DeSantis2.85%Donald Trump2.35%Pete Buttigieg2.05%Thomas Massie1.95%Andy Beshear1.65%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.65%Donald Trump Jr.1.35%JB Pritzker1.25%Jamie Dimon1.05%Elon Musk0.95%Stephen Smith0.95%Ivanka Trump0.95%Michelle Obama0.95%Nikki Haley0.85%Greg Abbott0.85%Ro Khanna0.85%James Talarico0.85%Gretchen Whitmer0.75%Wes Moore0.75%Glenn Youngkin0.75%Vivek Ramaswamy0.75%Tulsi Gabbard0.75%Zohran Mamdani0.75%Eric Trump0.65%Tim Walz0.65%LeBron James0.65%Pete Hegseth0.65%Kim Kardashian0.65%Jul 11, 19:11 pm
Vol43,35BΒ β½
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 3180.5%
July 3170.5%
June 3054.5%
June 1546.5%
June 739.5%
May 3125.5%
May 262.15%
April 30No
April 22No
April 24No
May 15No
May 8No
May 11No
May 13No
May 22No
Apr 08, 16:23 pm
Vol13,67BΒ β½
Netanyahu out by...?
December 3143.5%
June 304.6%
May 310.45%
March 31No
April 30No
Jul 24, 23:47 pm
Vol8,7BΒ β½
Monthly
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Gavin Newsom23%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
Kamala Harris9.6%
Jon Ossoff7.4%
Rahm Emanuel5.9%
Pete Buttigieg4.6%
Josh Shapiro4.6%
Mark Kelly3.8%
Andy Beshear3.6%
James Talarico3.1%
J.B. Pritzker2.9%
Ro Khanna2.2%
Wes Moore2.2%
Jon Stewart1.7%
Graham Platner1.6%
Michelle Obama1.5%
Gretchen Whitmer1.1%
Mark Cuban1%
Mitch Landrieu1%
Stephen A. Smith0.9%
Cory Booker0.8%
Ruben Gallego0.7%
Chris Murphy0.7%
Elissa Slotkin0.5%
Raphael Warnock0.5%
Andrew Yang0.5%
Dwayne Johnson0.4%
Jamie Dimon0.4%
Jared Polis0.4%
Roy Cooper0.4%
Zohran Mamdani0.3%
Gina Raimondo0.3%
Bernie Sanders0.3%
Barack Obama0.2%
Amy Klobuchar0.2%
Hunter Biden0.2%
Elizabeth Warren0.2%
Tim Walz0.1%
Liz Cheney0.1%
Phil Murphy0.1%
John Fetterman0.1%
Lebron James0.1%
Hillary Clinton0.1%
Jasmine Crockett0.1%
Beto O'Rourke0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol8,19BΒ β½
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
NicolΓ‘s Maduro66.85%
Delcy RodrΓguez21.5%
MarΓa Corina Machado4.5%
Edmundo GonzΓ‘lez1.25%
Jorge RodrΓguez0.75%
Diosdado Cabello RondΓ³n0.55%
No Head of State0.55%
Donald Trump0.55%
Vladimir Padrino LΓ³pez0.25%
Dinorah Figuera0.15%
Evan Pettus0.15%
Dan Caine0.15%
Marco Rubio0.15%
Pete Hegseth0.15%
Frank Donovan0.15%
Richard Grenell0.15%
Jan 04, 18:25 pm
Vol6,4BΒ β½
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz InΓ‘cio Lula da Silva40.5%FlΓ‘vio Bolsonaro27.55%Renan Santos13.85%Fernando Haddad6.35%Romeu Zema4.25%Camilo Santana1.95%Ronaldo Caiado1.75%Michelle Bolsonaro1.55%Tereza Cristina0.65%Jair Bolsonaro0.55%Geraldo Alckmin0.45%Tarcisio de Freitas0.15%Ratinho JΓΊnior0.15%Eduardo Leite0.15%Aldo Rebelo0.15%Eduardo Bolsonaro0.15%Helder Barbalho0.15%Sep 18, 20:16 pm
Vol6,34BΒ β½
Next French Presidential Election
Jordan Bardella22.5%Γdouard Philippe15.5%Jean-Luc MΓ©lenchon11.5%Gabriel Attal8.75%Marine Le Pen5.5%David Lisnard4.15%Dominique de Villepin4.15%FranΓ§ois Hollande3.95%Bruno Retailleau3.05%RaphaΓ«l Glucksmann2.3%SΓ©bastien Lecornu2.25%Sarah Knafo2.05%Γric Zemmour0.85%Jean Castex0.85%Laurent Wauquiez0.75%Juan Branco0.75%GΓ©rald Darmanin0.75%FranΓ§ois Ruffin0.75%Bernard Cazeneuve0.75%ClΓ©mence GuettΓ©0.75%Manuel Bompard0.65%Nicolas Dupont-Aignan0.65%Carole Delga0.65%ValΓ©rie PΓ©cresse0.65%Γlisabeth Borne0.65%FranΓ§ois Asselineau0.65%ClΓ©mentine Autain0.65%Michel Barnier0.65%SΓ©golΓ¨ne Royal0.65%Fabien Roussel0.65%Marine Tondelier0.65%Xavier Bertrand0.65%Olivier Faure0.65%FranΓ§ois Bayrou0.65%Mathilde Panot0.65%YaΓ«l Braun-Pivet0.65%Nov 13, 23:10 pm
Vol5,92BΒ β½
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Keiko Fujimori70.5%Roberto SΓ‘nchez Palomino29.15%Rafael LΓ³pez Aliaga1.05%Rafael BelaΓΊnde Llosa0.05%Vladimir CerrΓ³n0.05%Wolfgang Grozo0.05%Carlos Γlvarez0.05%Roberto Chiabra0.05%CΓ©sar AcuΓ±a0.05%Marisol PΓ©rez Tello0.05%Fiorella Molinelli0.05%MesΓas Guevara0.05%Ricardo Belmont0.05%Enrique Valderrama0.05%Carlos EspΓ‘0.05%Fernando Olivera0.05%JosΓ© Luna0.05%Alfonso LΓ³pez Chau0.05%Yonhy Lescano0.05%Mario Vizcarra0.05%George Forsyth0.05%JosΓ© Williams0.05%Jorge Nieto0.05%Vol
3,99BΒ β½
Will Trump visit China by...?
June 30Yes
May 31Yes
May 15Yes
October 31, 2025No
March 31, 2026No
April 30No
May 8No
ΠΠ°Π²Π΅ΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΎVol
3,56BΒ β½
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 306.5%
May 311.5%
April 30No
March 31No
April 15No
Vol
3,39BΒ β½
2028 Republican presidential nominee
J.D. Vance34%
Marco Rubio28%
Tucker Carlson5.9%
Donald J. Trump Jr.5%
Ron DeSantis4.7%
Donald J. Trump3%
Thomas Massie2.8%
Ivanka Trump1.4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene1.3%
Glenn Youngkin1.3%
Rand Paul1%
Lara Trump1%
Spencer Pratt1%
Jeff Bezos1%
Candace Owens1%
Ted Cruz0.9%
Brian Kemp0.9%
Josh Hawley0.8%
Nikki Haley0.7%
Tulsi Gabbard0.7%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.6%
Steve Bannon0.6%
Byron Donalds0.5%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders0.5%
Greg Abbott0.5%
Eric Trump0.5%
Mike Pence0.4%
Tom Cotton0.4%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0.4%
Katie Britt0.4%
Erika Kirk0.3%
Pete Hegseth0.3%
John Thune0.2%
Elise Stefanik0.2%
Matt Gaetz0.2%
Kristi Noem0.1%
Nicki Minaj0.1%
Elon Musk0.1%
Nov 06, 15:00 pm
Vol3,2BΒ β½
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 3115.5%
September 308.5%
June 302.55%
May 310.45%
March 31No
April 30No
Nov 25, 18:07 pm
Vol3,19BΒ β½
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2.7%Yes97.3%No
Dec 17, 23:04 pm
Vol3,18BΒ β½
Monthly
Fed Decision in June?
No change97.35%
25 bps decrease1.5%
50+ bps decrease0.65%
25 bps increase0.65%
50+ bps increase0.25%
Dec 10, 21:50 pm
Vol3,14BΒ β½
Monthly
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Chong Won-oh79.5%Oh Se-hoon21.5%Cho Eun-hee0.05%Cho Kuk0.05%Ahn Cheol-soo0.05%Hong Ihk-pyo0.05%Park Yong-jin0.05%Kang Hoon-sik 0.05%Na Kyung-won0.05%Han Dong-hoon0.05%Park Hong-keun0.05%Park Ju-min0.05%Jeon Hyun-heui0.05%Seo Young-kyo0.05%Nov 13, 00:40 am
Vol3,13BΒ β½
Iran closes its airspace by...?
June 3034.7%
June 1526.25%
May 3112.05%
May 275.45%
May 240.65%
May 8No
May 15No
May 6No
May 7No
May 21No
May 18No
May 01, 18:22 pm
Vol3,05BΒ β½
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 3185.5%
June 3076.5%
June 1562.5%
June 738%
June 326%
May 3116.5%
May 283.45%
April 18No
April 22No
April 30No
April 16No
April 15No
April 17No
April 21No
April 19No
April 20No
April 23No
April 24No
April 27No
April 26No
April 29No
April 25No
May 5No
April 28No
May 15No
May 22No
Vol
2,95BΒ β½
Monthly
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Marco Rubio18%
J.D. Vance16%
Gavin Newsom14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez6.3%
Kamala Harris5.9%
Jon Ossoff5.3%
Donald J. Trump3.5%
Mark Kelly3.1%
Ron DeSantis3%
Pete Buttigieg2.9%
Josh Shapiro2.8%
Andy Beshear2.7%
Tucker Carlson2.3%
Thomas Massie2%
J.B. Pritzker1.6%
Donald J. Trump Jr.1.3%
Wes Moore1.3%
Rahm Emanuel1%
Gretchen Whitmer0.9%
Stephen A. Smith0.8%
Glenn Youngkin0.6%
Nikki Haley0.4%
Tulsi Gabbard0.3%
Jamie Dimon0.3%
Greg Abbott0.3%
Vivek Ramaswamy0.2%
Tim Walz0.1%
May 10, 14:00 pm
Vol2,81BΒ β½
Iran ceasefire continues through...?
May 2498.25%
May 20Yes
May 21Yes
May 23Yes
May 22Yes
December 31No
July 31No
May 31No
May 27No
May 25No
June 7No
May 28No
June 30No
May 26No
June 15No
May 20, 03:28 am
Vol2,74BΒ β½
California Governor winner?
Xavier Becerra58%
Tom Steyer30%
Steve Hilton9.8%
Chad Bianco3%
Matt Mahan1%
Katie Porter0.8%
Tony Thurmond0.1%
Eric Swalwell0.1%
Antonio Villaraigosa0.1%
ChΓ© Ahn0.1%
Betty Yee0.1%
Rob Bonta0.1%
Michael Younger0.1%
Daniel Mercuri0.1%
Leo Zacky0.1%
Butch Ware0.1%
Toni Atkins0.1%
Ethan Agarwal0.1%
Stephen Cloobeck0.1%
Eleni Kounalakis0.1%
Alex Padilla0.1%
Kamala Harris0.1%
Kyle Langford0.1%
Rick Caruso0.1%
Nicole Shanahan0.1%
May 16, 14:00 pm
Vol2,6BΒ β½
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
6.85%Yes93.15%No
Dec 23, 01:07 am
Vol2,39BΒ β½
Monthly
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
0.25%Yes99.75%No
Apr 01, 16:26 pm
Vol2,33BΒ β½
Monthly
Discover the hottest prediction markets in politics, crypto, sports and moreΠΡΠΏΠΎΠ»ΡΠ·ΠΎΠ²Π°Π½ΠΈΠ΅ ΡΡΠΎΠΉ ΡΡΡΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΡ ΡΠ΅Π³ΡΠ»ΠΈΡΡΠ΅ΡΡΡ Π½Π°ΡΠΈΠΌ ΡΠ²Π΅Π΄ΠΎΠΌΠ»Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΎΠ± ΠΎΡΠΊΠ°Π·Π΅ ΠΎΡ ΠΎΡΠ²Π΅ΡΡΡΠ²Π΅Π½Π½ΠΎΡΡΠΈ Π΄Π»Ρ Π ΡΠ½ΠΊΠΎΠ² ΠΏΡΠΎΠ³Π½ΠΎΠ·ΠΎΠ²; ΠΏΠΎΠΆΠ°Π»ΡΠΉΡΡΠ°, ΠΎΠ·Π½Π°ΠΊΠΎΠΌΡΡΠ΅ΡΡ Ρ Π½ΠΈΠΌ <a>Π·Π΄Π΅ΡΡ</a>.